FNUS72 KMLB 201221
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TM17...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
821 AM EDT TUE AUG 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. SOME DRIER AIR HAS MOVED IN FROM THE
EAST WHICH SHOULD LIMIT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS. IN ADDITION...THE LOW
LEVEL WINDS HAVE TURNED MORE EASTERLY WHICH WILL PUSH ANY SHOWERS
AND STORMS MORE QUICKLY INLAND...RATHER THAN PARALLEL TO THE COAST
LIKE YESTERDAY. A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND SHOULD DEVELOP SHORTLY OVER
THE BURN SITE WHICH IS FORECAST TO BACK A BIT TO THE EAST AND EAST
SOUTHEAST BY MID DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............86  87  87  88  88  87  87  86  85  83  82  82
RH..............70  65  65  63  61  63  65  67  72  74  74  74
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE ESE E   ESE E   ESE E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...EMILY WEHR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130820.TM17_.01/MLB