FNUS75 KMSO 202119
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOLO CREEK COMPLEX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
319 PM MDT TUE AUG 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1503 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONGER THERMAL BELTS TONIGHT...
...INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE FIRE TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY.  THIS WILL TRANSLATE INTO STRONGER THERMAL BELTS
TONIGHT, BUT MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS.  HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER THE FIRE THURSDAY WITH THE
ATMOSPHERE POSSIBLY BECOMING UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR AN EVENING
THUNDERSTORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
SHOULD PRODUCE MORE WIND THAN PRECIPITATION.  A WEATHER
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 VALLEY AND 55-61 MID SLOPE AND RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT VALLEY AND 37-45 PERCENT MID SLOPES
                    AND RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER DARK.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  AREAS OF SMOKE PERSISTING IN
                    THE VALLEYS THROUGH MID DAY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 RIDGES AND 88-92 VALLEY.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT RIDGE AND 13-17 PERCENT VALLEY.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2 TO
                    7 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  AREAS OF SMOKE BUILDING UP IN THE
                    VALLEY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 VALLEY AND 57-63 MID SLOPE AND RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT VALLEY AND 37-45 PERCENT MID SLOPES
                    AND RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........WIND DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY TO 5 MPH AFTER DARK.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.


$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...DURFEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130820.LOLOC.02/MSO