FNUS75 KPIH 201717
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR STATE FIRE...BLM IMT3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1117 AM MDT TUE AUG 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1023 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
BECAUSE OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. LOOK FOR
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA TODAY. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS
FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY TOO AS THE LOW STARTS TO MOVE
NORTHEAST OVER OUR AREA. LOOK FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY CREATING A CONCERN FOR FLASH FLOODING PARTICULARLY
OVER BURN SCARS. ADDITIONALLY...EXPECT GUSTY OUTFLOWS OF 40 TO 45
MPH IN AND AROUND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX AT 4400 FT 87 TO 91 AT 7500 FT 77 TO 81.
RH..................AT 4400 FT MIN 15 TO 20 PERCENT
                    AT 7500 FT 23 TO 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM
                    OUTFLOWS OF 40 TO 45 MPH.
CWR.................31 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................2...THEN 4 IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64 TO 69.
RH..................MAX 65 TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3 TO 6 MPH. OUTFLOWS OF 30 MPH
                    IN AND AROUND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................4...THEN 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX AT 4400 FT 84 TO 88 AT 7500 FT 69 TO 73.
RH..................AT 4400 FT MIN 19 TO 23 PERCENT
                    AT 7500 FT 28 TO 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6
                    MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    LOOK FOR GUSTY OUTFLOWS OF 40 TO 45 MPH IN
                    AND AROUND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................88 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................2...THEN 4 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WYATT
REQUESTED BY...ROGER FRYAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130820.STATE.01/PIH